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  • Home
  • Consulting Service
    • About Us
    • History
    • Credit Risk Analytics
    • Marketing Analytics
  • Case Studies & Details
    • Credit Risk Analytics
    • Validation of Credit Risk Models
    • IFRS 9 and Expected Credit Losses
    • Default Risk in the Trading Book
    • Model Risk Review and Audit
    • Scenario Analysis in Finance
    • Marketing Analytics
    • Segmentation and Customer Churn
  • Blog
  • Contact

Blog

Processes and Simulations

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Analytics, Simulation and Automation are critical for enhancing quality of decision-making in Business Process Management, to enable reducing costs and boosting performance in organizations.

Performance and conformance of processes is suitably evaluated with the help of Process Analytics, which is key for the delivery of timely insights about how an organisation works and what bottlenecks exists in services and products. Simulation of Processes demonstrates how the process works under multiple scenarios to provide important insights for successful change management. Specification and documentation of Business Processes using the industry standards of Business Process Modeling Notation (BPMN) and Decision Modeling Notation (DMN) increases the transparency of processes within an organization to enable process automation. 

Read more: Processes and Simulations

A Short History of Global Historic Crash Events

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Asset classes undero cyclical boom and bust scenarios over time which are examined by financial institutions primarily by Stress Testing. Stress Testing is a well established risk management tool which is highly prioritized with respect to banks' capital due to the regulatory requirements that banks have to comply with. 

A major challenge for Financial Institutions is to anticipate solvency and profitability in the advent of market crisis which - based on experienced patterns over the last decades - repeats globally and regionally by certain cycles. The following article provides a brief outline of historic crash events affecting Financial Markets pre 2008.

Read more: A Short History of Global Historic Crash Events

AI-ML in Banking and Finance

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Enabled through advances in Information Technology (IT), Artifical Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) find applications across multiple areas of Finance. Today, the availability of machines and algorithms specialised in learning and decision making from data make applications possible that draw insights from complex and high dimensional data. In addition, novel data sources lead to an increase in data complexity whilst providing a lever to usefulness of AI-ML techniques.

Read more: AI-ML in Banking and Finance

Systems Dynamics for Process Scenario Analysis

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The System Dynamics approach was developed as a method for examining systems. A particular aim was to better understand how and when systems fail. The Simulation approach used for System Dynamics has proven to be suitable to obtain valuable insights about the behavioural dynamics of systems and processes. We support in evaluating performance and efficiency of owned systems and processes in:   

 

 

  • Supply Chain Management 
  •  Sales and Marketing
      

 

 

  • Project Management
  • Strategy Management
 

 

Read more: Systems Dynamics for Process Scenario Analysis

Bayesian Networks

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Decision making under uncertainty often has to consider a large number of factors. Bayesian Networks (BN) belong to the type of Probabilistic Graphical Models and provide a suitable framework to aid complex decision making across a wide range of applications. The structure of a Bayesian Network is represented by a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) consisting of nodes and directed arcs. In particular, each node`represents a random variable with nodes connected by directed arcs representing dependencies. With the following blog a brief primer on Baysian Networks is presented.
  
Read more: Bayesian Networks
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